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365
*UK Edition*
Get In The Game - with Nigel Ridgway of bet365
**********************************************
HORSE RACING
************
KASBAH CAN ROCK AT 6/1
Last week, I put up L’Ami at 12/1 for the Gold Cup, and Kasbah Bliss
at
9/1
for the Triumph Hurdle. Since then, nothing has happened to change my
mind,
and they’re now trading at 10/1 and 6/1 respectively hope
you are on!
The
duo are both trained in France by Francois Doumen, who has been saying
all
along that his horses have been held up by frozen gallops, so it was a
slight surprise to see them run so well at Sandown last time out.
It was a fine weight-carrying performance by L’Ami in the Racing
Post
Chase, and it’s worth remembering that he was also a fine second
to
Trabolgan in the Hennessy, and that one would have gone off a clear
favourite for the Gold Cup had he not succumbed to injury. He’ll
be
staying
on when others have cried enough, as will Kasbah Bliss, who powered home
up
the Sandown hill to win the Adonis Hurdle, a race that has thrown up the
winner of the Triumph Hurdle on more than one occasion. The Gallic double
still pays out at a massive 76/1 for the win here at bet365!
Plus, there’s no need to worry if you’re stuck in the office
or can’t get
to a TV, you can watch the progress of your free bets (and all your
Festival bets) live here at bet365. Just bet £5 and click on the
live
stream next to the race.
Cheltenham Ante Post Double (already advised): L’Ami @ 12/1 (Gold
Cup) &
Kasbah Bliss @ 9/1 (Triumph Hurdle)
FREE CHELTENHAM BETS ALL WEEK
The winner of this year’s Gold Cup looks likely to go off at 4/1
or
bigger,
so bet365 customers smart enough to find the winner can take advantage
of
a
free bet on the next live Channel 4 race the Christie’s Foxhunter
Chase
(4.00pm). Simply back a 4/1 or bigger winner of any live Channel 4 race
at
the Festival (there are 16 in total!), and we’ll give you a free
bet to
the
same stake (up to £50) on the next live Channel 4 race.
Make the most of your Cheltenham betting by visiting us all week.
FOOTBALL
********
15/8 TOON TO MAKE POOL PAY FOR LONG SEASON
Newcastle v Liverpool
Su Mar 19 1:30 pm ko (SS1)
Last week we cashed in by backing the ‘under’ goals in the
Man United v
Newcastle encounter at 10/11, and goals may again be hard to come by when
Newcastle take on Liverpool at St James’ Park. Ok, the Magpies may
have
been flattered last week, but they’ve always been strongest at home
and,
this time, they face an attack which has managed only six strikes in its
last ten games. That will hardly strike fear into the Newcastle defence
who, up until last weekend, had conceded just two goals in six matches.
For Liverpool, the signs are that their mammoth season is finally
catching
up with them (this will be the 53rd game of their campaign), which makes
Newcastle look over-priced at 15/8 in our 90 minute market (Liverpool
11/8,
Draw 9/4). In our First Goalscorer market, Nolberto Solano could be the
value pick at 11/1. He’s opened the scoring in the last two Newcastle
home
games, and scored twice against Everton to take his tally for the season
to
six. If he scores the last goal in the game instead, we’ll give
you your
money back here at bet365.
Interestingly, neither team has lost after taking the lead or won after
going behind in the league, so don’t be afraid to go in again on
our live
‘In-Play Console (up to 14 markets available), should the opportunity
arise.
Live Game Picks:
Newcastle @ 15/8 / ‘Under’ 2.5 Goals @ 8/11
HAVE CONFIDENCE IN CITY AT EVENS
In the other Premiership games this weekend, Arsenal (3/10), Chelsea
(2/5)
and Bolton (1/3) look serious Premiership acca material against Charlton,
Fulham and Sunderland respectively. Meanwhile, it’s difficult to
see Man
City (Evens) or West Ham (4/5) slipping up either. City are full of
confidence in front of their home fans (not lost at home this season to
a
side outside the top seven), while West Ham have helped themselves to
ten
points from their last four games at Upton Park. A four-fold on our four
main fancies this weekend pays out £384.59 for a £50 stake,
which
includes
a bet365 bonus of 5% - up to 60% available every weekend.
Premiership Picks:
Man City to beat Wigan @ Evens
West Ham to beat Portsmouth @ 4/5
4-fold on Newcastle (15/8), Arsenal (3/10), Chelsea (2/5) and Bolton
(1/3)
- pays £242.55 (£25 stake) which includes a bet365 bonus
of 5%
GOLF
****
BAY HILL INVITATIONAL - CAMPBELL HAS BIG CHANCE AT 28/1
Th Mar 16 20.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Mar 17- 20.00 BST (SS3)
Sa Mar 18 19.30 BST (SS2)
Su Mar 19 19.30 BST (SS2)
Tiger Woods is going for his fourth win of the year at this week’s
Bay
Hill
Championship, a tournament he’s won four times in the past, and
he’ll
take
all the beating again this week. The question for bettors here at bet365
is
whether they want to take the current price of 9/4 or wait until the
event
goes live, when he’s almost certain to be bigger on our ‘In-Play
Console’.
There’s also the fact that six of the world’s top ten take
him on this
week, so there must be some value further down our betting list.
With neither Vijay Singh or Ernie Els (both priced at 12/1), at the top
of
their games right now, the dangers to Woods are likely to come from the
16/1 shots and better, and one player who could take advantage of any
slip-up from the favourite is Chad Campbell, at a standout bet365 price
of
28/1. He has plenty of good course form in his favour winner in
2004
and
8th last year and has looked better than ever this year with a win
in
the
Bob Hope Classic, and a second in the Sony Open.
He goes into our portfolio of bets along with Zach Johnson (also 28/1),
whose two appearances here have yielded two top-tens. He could well make
it
third time lucky this week, judging on his third place finish in the
World
Matchplay and a solid 15th at Doral. Best of the long-shots could be
Lucas
Glover at a massive bet365 price of 50/1. His lack of course experience
is
the reason for the inflated odds, but in his six strokeplay events this
year, he’s finished in the top-10 on four occasions, and has already
won
on
the Tour when Tiger was in the field (2005 Funai Classic)!
Bay Hill Invitational Three Off The Tee… Chad Campbell 28/1, Zach
Johnson
28/1, Lucas Glover 50/1. Each-way ¼ odds 1.2.3.4.5
Get in the game and be lucky!
NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many
years,
believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for
money.”
Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping
column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out what
offers and lines are hot at bet365.com
*UK Edition*
Get In The Game - with Nigel Ridgway of bet365
**********************************************
FOOTBALL
********
FULHAM ARE DERBY VALUE AT 11/5
This weekend, we’ll be playing up our winnings from the Carling
Cup
(cleaned up on the outright, double result and first goal scorer markets!)
by taking bet365’s 11/5 on Fulham to beat Arsenal. Despite some
indifferent
away form this season, the layers still consistently over-estimate the
Gunners, and there’s no way they should be 11/10 here (11/5 the
draw).
Arsenal were fortunate to catch Real Madrid on a bad night when nicking
the
win, and Fulham won’t be as complacent as the Spaniards. Besides,
Fulham
have won eight of their last nine Premiership home games, including a
6-1
thrashing of West Brom last weekend, so they are massive value for this
derby.
Fulham to beat Arsenal @ 11/5
DRAW IS BEAUTIFUL AT 11/5
Thankfully, Newcastle v Bolton is not on the box, as the football is
unlikely to be pretty, and goals could be at a premium. Bolton have been
struggling to win games (drawn five of their last six), and finding the
net
against Newcastle won’t be easy. Like Bolton, Newcastle have become
difficult to break down and this could be a match in which the defences
hold the upper hand. Cash in by backing the stalemate and go ‘under’
on the
bet365 goals market too.
Newcastle v Bolton Draw @ 11/5 / ‘Under’ 2.5 Goals @
4/6
BAGGIES COULD SHOCK AT 7/1
Bolton v Chelsea
Sa Mar 4 12.45 ko (Prem Plus)
Call it March Madness, but am I the only one who thinks West Brom have
got
more than a squeak of pulling off a massive upset on Saturday? At 7/1,
bet365 clearly don’t, but Chelsea have been badly underperforming
since the
turn of the year, and they cannot afford to be complacent at the Hawthorns.
West Brom have won six matches at home this season, including four against
sides in the top half of the table, and could be catching Chelsea at the
right time. The game is live on Sky, so we’ll get chance to hedge
our bets
via the bet365 ‘In-Play Console’ (up to 14 dynamic markets),
but the 7/1
pre-match price looks worth a small investment now. Arguably, our Asian
Handicap is even better value (bet to 102%), where the Baggies are
currently available at 2.02 with a goal start (if Chelsea win by a single
goal your stake is refunded).
West Brom to beat Chelsea @ 7/1 (2.02 Asian Handicap)
We’ll bottle the chance to get our Premiership acca off to a perfect
start
at the Hawthorns, but a £25 acca on Fulham (11/5), Middlesbrough
(10/11),
Man City (2/5) and Newcastle to draw (11/5) still pays out a healthy
£718.43, which is inflated by a bet365 Premiership Acca Bonus of
5% (up to
60% more every weekend).
Premiership Acca
4-fold on Fulham, Middlesbrough, Man City and Newcastle (to draw) pays
£718.43 (£25 stake) which includes a bet365 bonus of
5%
INJURY WOE FOR 10/11 BLUES
The Baggies may (or may not) win the battle of the Hawthorns this weekend,
but will they win the war against relegation? Three points against Chelsea
would do very nicely, but even if things don’t go their way at the
weekend,
they might still have enough breathing space to survive. Things change
very
quickly in the bet365 relegation market the Baggies were odds-against
before losing to in-form Boro and Birmingham will go into their
relegation six-pointers against Boro and West Brom (March 11th) with
injuries to several key players. With Sunderland as good as down, and
Portsmouth similarly doomed, it’s a case of perming one from two,
and my
money is on the Blues at 10/11.
bet365 Premiership Relegation prices … Portsmouth 1/10, West Brom
4/6,
Birmingham 10/11, Middlesbrough 16/1, others on bet365 website.
BECKHAM 13/8 NOT TO BE AT MADRID NEXT SEASON
England aside, David Beckham’s future at Real Madrid has been thrown
into
doubt after the resignation of President Florentino Perez, and bet365
are
offering 13/8 on him not starting next season at the Bernabeu. The England
captain, who is yet to win a trophy at Real Madrid, has only got one season
left on his current contract, and any extension looks to be on hold now.
Will David Beckham Start 2006/7 La Liga Season At Madrid?
Yes 4/9
No 13/8
HORSE RACING
************
WIN CHELTENHAM MONEY AND FREE BETS
Last week’s big race tip, Fork Lightning, ran appallingly (jockey
blamed
the heavy ground), but he could still bounce back in one of the Festival
handicaps on decent ground. We can be assured of a decent price there,
but
there’s (Cheltenham) betting money to be made this weekend at the
televised
Newbury meeting, and free bets on offer here at bet365!
My idea of the Vodafone Gold Cup (3.15) winner is the hat-trick-seeking
Montgermont, who must be seriously respected should he line up here instead
of an alternative race at Lingfield (3.30). He’s not trained by
a
fashionable yard (Mrs L C Taylor), which means he’s been allowed
to go off
at generous prices for his last two wins, and that could be the case again
on Saturday. In his absence, the Martin Pipe-trained Winsdsor Boy looks
a
good substitute as he’s set to carry just 10st 8lb. The race is
one of four
to be screened live from the track by Channel 4, which means we can also
look forward to a bet365 bonus of a free bet (up to £25) on the
next live
race, should the selection win at 4/1 or bigger.
Also, keep an eye out for Tokala, who’ll be bidding to keep his
unbeaten
record intact at Newbury on either Friday or Saturday. Despite hating
the
sharp Fakenham circuit, he still managed to scramble home last time out,
and this track will suit better. bet365 customers can follow his progress,
wherever he runs, via our live stream, providing they bet £5 on
the race.
9/1 KASBAH ROCKS THE TRIUMPH BETTING
A Glass In Tyne, an impressive winner of last month’s Great Yorkshire
Chase
looks the answer to Saturday’s Grimthorpe Chase at Lingfield (3.30,
live on
Channel 4 and bet365). The key to this horse is soft ground, and he’s
sure
to get that, while his trainer (Ben Pollack) reckons there’s “still
more to
come” from the improving eight-year-old. A further positive can
be gleaned
from his previous course form, when he ran a blinder when fourth behind
L’Ami in a Grade 2 novice chase. The winner has since gone on to
run a fine
second to Trabolgan in the Hennessey, and filled the same berth in last
weekend’s Racing Post Chase, behind his stablemate Innox. That was
a fine
weight-carrying performance from L’Ami, who must now have a cracking
each
way chance in the Gold Cup, for which he gets a bet365 quote of 12/1.
His trainer, Francois Doumen, can also look forward to running his Kasbah
Bliss at the Festival, after that one powered home on Saturday to win
the
Adonis Hurdle, a race that has thrown up the winner of the Triumph Hurdle
on more than one occasion. Kasbah Bliss looks a solid 9/1 bet for that
race, and the Gallic double pays out at a massive 129/1 for the win!
Cheltenham Ante Post Double (Each-way): L’Ami @ 12/1 (Gold Cup)
& Kasbah
Bliss @ 9/1 (Triumph Hurdle) non-runner no bet
MONEY BACK ON CHELTENHAM NON-RUNNERS
After another Cheltenham Festival fancy, Rhinestone Cowboy, bit the dust
last week, ante post bettors would have been relieved to see that bet365
are now non-runner no bet on all races at the Festival. This is a nice
insurance to have, particularly with some of this year’s novices,
who have
been declared for both the Supreme Novice and Royal & SunAlliance
Hurdles.
That includes Straw Bear, whose connections are still undecided on which
race he’ll tackle, although he’s more likely to run in the
former, for
which he gets a bet365 quote of 10/1.
Another high profile runner, Our Vic, is a possible for both the Ryanair
Chase (2m 5f) and the Gold Cup over three and a quarter miles. Trainer
Martin Pipe is convinced that his charge will stay the longer trip, and
that will please those bet365 customers who are on at 40/1 ante post!
He’s
now half those odds, and backers at that price are at least assured of
a
run for their money, or their stake returned to their bet365 balance!
GOLF
****
FORD CHAMPIONSHIP WELCOME HOME FURYK AT 19/1
Th Mar 2 22.00 (SS2)
Fr Mar 3 20.00 (SSX)
Sa Mar 4 20.00 (SS2)
Su Mar 5 20.00 (SS3)
Tiger Woods is almost unbeatable when he’s playing his best, and
that was
certainly the case last year, when he shot a remarkable score of 129 at
the
weekend to pip Phil Mickelson. Woods’ record is now 1-2-9 for his
three
appearances here, and it is hard to believe (despite not being at his
very
best this year) that he won’t be bang in contention going into the
final
round. The bet365 ‘Enhanced Win Only’ price of 18/5 is the
best out there,
but value hunters might want to consider waiting until the event goes
live.
He’s almost certain to be a bigger price on our ‘In-Play Console
at some
stage, especially as he heads a stellar field containing nine of the
world’s top-10 players.
Tiger is of course a Florida resident, and Florida-based golfers have
won
14 of the last 16 runnings of this first leg of the so-called ‘Florida
Swing’. Unfortunately for bet365 customers, 40 of the 144-strong
field have
now made their (or a) home in the Sunshine State, so we can’t rely
on this
stat alone when picking the winner this week.
Fortunately, the stereotypical winner also has plenty of positive course
experience, and that makes Jim Furyk of interest this week at bet365’s
19/1
(EWO). Furyk will be glad to see the Tour arrive back in his home state
(and back on his beloved Bermuda greens), and he’s excelled in his
event
with four top-tens in his last five visits, including a win in 2000 and
a
second in 2003. The fact that he was eliminated early from last week’s
Matchplay, meaning that he didn’t waste too much energy, could also
be in
his favour.
Europe sends out its big guns this week, including Sergio Garcia and
Padraig Harrington, but neither have particularly good records here. Angel
Cabrera is much more interesting (and a bigger price at 66/1!), as he’s
shown a liking for the course tied 10th, tied 17th, missed cut,
tied
fifth in his last four starts. If you’re looking for a big priced
outsider
to get into the frame (1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4.5), then he could be your man,
while we’ll also be risking a few quid each way on Tampa resident
David
Branshaw, at a massive bet365 price of 175/1! Last years’ Nationwide
Tour
Championship winner has been going well on the West Coast with two top-20’s
in four starts, including a solo sixth last week.
Ford Championship at Doral Three Off The Tee … Jim Furyk 18/1, Angel
Cabrera 66/1, David Branshaw 175/1. Each-way ¼ odds 1.2.3.4.5
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel
NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years,
believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for
money.”
Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune.
*UK Edition*
Get In The Game - with Nigel Ridgway of bet365
**********************************************
FOOTBALL
********
UNITED A SAFE BET AT 8/13
Carling Cup Final, Man United v Wigan
Su Feb 26 3.00 ko (SS1)
Surprise results are memorable in Cup finals because they’re so
infrequent,
and we shouldn’t be betting on one here. Wigan (9/2) have done
tremendously
well to get this far by beating Bolton, Newcastle and Arsenal, but their
most recent form has been more like what we expected from them at the
start
of the season just one win in nine and one clean sheet in 13.
They’ve also struggled to beat the top clubs this season. Sunday’s
point
against Spurs was their first from eight games against teams in the
current
top five, including a run of five successive defeats, culminating in a
4-0
thrashing at Old Trafford in December. That was only a week after
United’s
exit from the Champions League, and they could also catch United (8/13)
on
the rebound again here after their defeat by Liverpool in the FA Cup last
weekend. The draw is priced at 13/5.
You might want to consider backing United to have the lead at half time
at
6/4, while in our First Goalscorer market, Wayne Rooney looks a good
shout
at 4/1, especially as we’ll give you your money back if he scores
the
last
goal in the game instead. He scored twice in December’s 4-0 thrashing,
although it was Rio Ferdinand who scored the opener, and he’s 20/1
to
repeat that feat, and 5/1 to score anytime here at bet365. Once the game
goes live, don’t forget to check out our 14 exciting live In-play
markets.
Carling Cup Picks:
United to beat Wigan at 8/13
United / United @ 6/4
Wayne Rooney to score first @ 4/1
TOFFEES CAN RAID MAGPIES NEST AT 11/4
Newcastle v Everton
Sa Feb 25 5.15 ko (Prem Plus)
Everton are the form team in the Premiership at the moment thanks to a
series of 1-0 wins, and look up to nicking the points at Newcastle at
a
tasty 11/4 (but be quick, this might not last too long!). Surprisingly,
the
Toffees have collected an impressive 16 points (with just eight goals)
from
their last six games, while Newcastle rode their luck in their recent
victory against Villa. They can hardly brag about their home wins against
Portsmouth and Southampton either, so we’ll be backing the away
win at
11/4, and chase even fatter odds by having a few quid on the 1-0 correct
score at 8/1.
Everton go into our Premiership acca this weekend, along with Chelsea
(1/7), Birmingham (4/6) and Bolton (4/5), who host one of the worst away
teams in the Premiership, Fulham. A £50 acca pays out £854.97
to a £50
stake, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% more every
weekend).
Weekend Premiership Picks:
Everton to beat Newcastle @ 11/4
Everton to win 1-0 @ 8/1
Birmingham to beat Sunderland @ 4/6
Bolton to beat Fulham @ 4/5
4-fold on Everton, Birmingham, Bolton and Chelsea pays £854.97 (£50
stake)
which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%
HORSE RACING
************
RACING POST CHASE - LIGHTNING TO STRIKE AT 8/1
This year’s Racing Post Chase has been transferred to Sandown (due
off
3.20), a course that bears little resemblance to its usual home Kempton,
but that hasn’t detracted from the quality of the field. Lacdoudal
is
bet365’s 6/1 favourite for the race at 6/1, and it’s not hard
to see why.
He’s already proved his stamina for the 3m trip when winning over
the
course back in December, and produced another fine effort when last seen
over fences, finishing third under a big weight in the Robin Cook Gold
Cup.
Unlike some of the others, he still has scope for improvement, as does
Fork
Lightning, who should be supported at the bet365 price of 8/1.
The selection missed a recent visit to the track due to the ground being
too fast (unlikely to be the case on Saturday), his first start since
finishing third to the useful Joacci over three and a quarter miles at
Cheltenham on New Year’s Day. That run was even more creditable
since he
was entitled to ‘bounce’ on his second run back after injury,
and he
could
do even better now that he’s racing right handed (won three times
going
right-handed in the past).
Of the others, L’Ami (10/1) could struggle to give the weight away,
while
Ladalko (7/1) needs to get his jumping sorted out, so the one for the
forecast could be Iznogoud. This one looks the pick of Martin Pipe’s
three
entries after finishing third in this race in 2004 and second last year,
and he looks to have a great each-way chance at bet365’s 16/1. Remember
that if you back the winner of the race (or any of the six live Channel
4
races on Saturday), you’re eligible for a free bet to the same stake
on
the
next live Channel 4 race. bet365 customers can also watch the race live
by
betting £5 and clicking on the live stream next to the race, while
forecast
backers should be taking the bet365 ‘Showcast’ price on the
day, as we’ll
pay you the starting price (CSF) is it’s bigger! Why bet anywhere
else?
bet365 Racing Post Chase latest prices … Lacdoudal 6/1, Ladalko
7/1, Fork
Lightning 8/1, Graphic Approach 9/1, L’Ami 10/1, Iznogoud 16/1,
others on
bet365 website.
MONEY BACK ON CHELTENHAM NON-RUNNERS
Nick Gifford could be giving his big Cheltenham hope Straw Bear a run
out
at the weekend (entered 1.35 Sandown), and he’s confidently expected
to
add
to his two career wins to date. He’s prominent in the bet365 betting
for
both the Supreme Novice (12/1) and Royal & SunAlliance Hurdles (20/1)
at
Cheltenham, and his trainer is confident that we haven’t seen the
best of
him yet, ominous words indeed. Another potential Festival candidate is
expected to line up on Saturday, when Monet’s Garden bids for his
first
graded win over fences in the Pendil Novice Chase (2.10). Nicky Richard’s
charge is unbeaten over fences, and two and a half miles around Sandown
should be right up his street. At this stage he’s more likely to
run in
the
Arkle Trophy over two miles rather than step up to three in the Royal
&
SunAlliance Chase, and he gets a bet365 14/1 quote for the former.
Whichever race he runs in, bet365 customers can back him (or any of their
Festival fancies) in the confidence of getting a run for their money,
or
their stake returned to their bet365 balance! As from Saturday, February
26th, bet365 are going non runner no bet on all Cheltenham ante post
races!
GOLF
****
CHRYSLER CLASSIC - ROLLINS A WORTHY TUCSON FAVOURITE AT 18/1
No big names playing in this week’s back-up tournament to the World
Matchplay (see below), which is open to players not ranked in the top-64
in
the world. There’s no obvious favourite either, but that burden
falls on
the shoulders of John Rollins, an 18/1 shot here at bet365. He’s
probably
the form horse in this non-televised event after a couple of top-five
finishes in recent weeks in much stronger events than this. He’s
also a
Tour winner, which is more than can be said for many of the other players
this week, and has previous course experience (26th last year).
However, he’s not the only one doing it right now, and the improving
Norwegian, Henrik Bjornstad should also be considered at a standout 50/1
with bet365. He has made a tremendous start to his American career with
two
top ten finishes, and this weaker event should see him challenging again
come Sunday. We’ll also be sticking a few quid on Justin Rose at
25/1. It
was not that long ago since Rose was ranked highly enough to play in the
Matchplay, and he’s since come close to breaking his duck on the
US Tour
when finishing 3rd in the Buick Championship at the end of last year.
He
looks to have carried that form through to this year (top-10 in the Bob
Hope), and, with his talent, he really should be up to winning an event
like this.
Chysler Classic of Tucson Three Off The Tee … John Rollins 18/1,
Justin
Rose 25/1, Henrik Bjornstad 50/1. Each-way ¼ odds 1.2.3.4.5
OPPOSE WORLD MATCHPLAY FAVOURITES
We Feb 22 19.00 BST (SS3)
Th Feb 23 19.00 BST (SS3)
Fr Feb 24 19.00 BST (SS3)
Sa Feb 25 15.30 BST (SS2)
Su Feb 26 16.00 BST (SS2)
This week’s World Matchplay tees off on Wednesday, but don’t
worry if you
don’t manage to get a bet on before the start as we’ll have
live In-Play
betting throughout. Matchplay can be hard to predict. At this level,
anyone
can get hot over 18 holes, and you could find the player that you’ve
backed
on his way home after shooting 66 if their opponent shoots 65. So, don’t
be
afraid to take on the jollies over the course of the five days. Despite
winning twice this year, Tiger has not been playing his best golf, while
neither Ernie Els nor Vijay Singh have great records here. My player
against the field is Chris DiMarco (25/1 pre tournament). Last year’s
beaten finalist looks to be on his game entering the event, having won
the
Abu Dhabi Golf Championship in January and finishing in the top-15 twice
in
three starts on the Tour.
World Matchplay Pick: Chris DiMarco @ 25/1 (oppose Woods, Els and Singh)
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel
NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many
years,
believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for
money.”
Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping
column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out what
offers and lines are hot at bet365.com
*UK Edition*
Get In The Game - with Nigel Ridgway of bet365
**********************************************
FOOTBALL
********
RED DEVILS 4/6 JOLLIES TO FOLLOW HOME BLUES
Liverpool have been replaced by Manchester United at the head of the bet365
Premiership ‘Without Chelsea’ market after losing 2-0 at Stamford
Bridge
last weekend. United, who are 4/6 to finish second, have spent most of
the
season hoping for the leaders to slip up but, with just 13 matches to
go,
it’s only a question of time before Chelsea wrap things up mathematically,
and reward those bet365 punters who backed them at 10/11!
bet365 latest ‘Without Chelsea’ prices … Man Utd 4/6,
Liverpool 5/4,
Arsenal 12/1, Tottenham 40/1, Bolton 125/1
CHELSEA TO HAVE A FIELD DAY AT 2.10
Boro may have taken the scalps of Arsenal and Man United at the Riverside,
but they have managed just one other win there this season, and have now
gone six league games without victory, conceding on average more than
two
goals a game. Expect Chelsea to have a field day here, and they should
be
the cornerstone of any bet365 Premiership Accumulator this weekend. They
can also be backed with confidence on our Asian Handicap, giving up a
goal
and a quarter start (currently 2.10). Here at bet365 we bet this market
to
just 102%, so it’s easy to see where the value lies, compared to
the fixed
price of 2/5.
Asian Handicap Pick: Chelsea (-1.25 goals @ 2.10)
The anticipated loss for Boro would see them drop into the bottom three,
and the 11/4 currently on offer for them to be relegated will look decent
value come next week (especially if Birmingham beat West Ham on Monday
night). bet365 also go 5-2 that Steve McClaren is removed from his
Middlesbrough post before the season is over, following their 4-0 loss
to
Aston Villa at the Riverside.
bet365 Premiership Relegation prices … Portsmouth 2/7, Birmingham
4/6, West
Brom 5/4, Middlesbrough 11/4, Fulham, Charlton 12/1, others on bet365
website.
13/10 UNITED FOR THE DOUBLE
No prizes for picking Man United to beat Portsmouth this weekend at 8/15
but, bearing in mind that Pompey have conceded almost as many goals in
the
first half as in the second, there’s grounds for taking the bet365
price of
13/10 for United to have this sewn up by half time. Man City are a much
better team at home, where only one team outside the top four has beaten
them, and they should be backed at 10/11 to beat Charlton on Sunday. The
Addicks started the season as the Premiership’s most impressive
away team,
but have now gone six away games without a win, and it’s hard to
imagine
them reversing that form here.
At Craven Cottage, Fulham ought to be able to improve on their decent
home
record against a Baggies outfit that is poor on the road, and they complete
our weekend at accumulator at bet365 odds of 5/6. A £50 four-fold
on our
four outright selections this weekend will return you £394.45 at
the
current prices, and that includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% more
every weekend here at bet365).
Weekend Premiership Picks:
Man United to beat Portsmouth @ 8/15 (United / United @ 13/10)
Man City to beat Charlton @ 10/11
Fulham to beat West Brom @ 5/6
4-fold on Chelsea (2/5); Man Utd; Man City; Fulham pays £394.45
(£50
stake)
GOALS A SAFE BET AT 21/20
West Ham v Birmingham
Mo Feb 13 - 20.00 BST ko (SS1)
Monday’s live encounter (up to 14 bet365 ‘In-Play’ markets
available) looks
closer to call, with slight preference for West Ham at 10/11, who are
on a
six-game winning streak. However, with Birmingham on the rise too, the
better bet looks to be on the ‘Over’ goals market. If you
ignore an
end-of-year two-game blip, the Hammers have scored in all of their last
15
games, with 15 goals in the last six. Unfortunately for them, they’ve
also
been conceding plenty too! Since drawing 0-0 with Arsenal back in December,
they’ve managed just two clean sheets in all competitions.
Live Game Pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 21/20
HORSE RACING
************
CHIEF TO TRIUMPH AT 10/1
Should racing go ahead, the highlight of Saturday’s card from Newbury
will
be the fiercely competitive Totesport Trophy (3.10), for which the Alan
King-trained Penzance has been installed as the bet365 6/1 joint-favourite.
His finest hour came when winning the 2005 Triumph Hurdle at The Festival,
but he’s been below that form in his two runs this season. However,
a
left-handed track and decent ground are Penzance’s’ requirements
and he
should get that on Saturday, while his Cheltenham heroics prove he’ll
be
able to live with what’s likely to be a furious pace. Connections
are
confident of a big run, but preference is for Chief Yeoman, who looks
to
have been laid out for the race, and is currently at double-figure odds
(10/1).
He’s another who has run with credit in the Triumph Hurdle (second
in
2004), and he looked on the way back to his best when chasing home the
useful Acambo (getting 17lb!) at Windsor before Christmas. Since then
the
selection was far from disgraced in an ultra-competitive race at Sandown,
and he’ll be much more suited to Newbury’s track. The fact
that he’s been
given a Champion Hurdle entry tells its own story. If you’re looking
for
one at a decent price, then Admiral has plenty going for him at a tasty
25/1. He needs to improve on his run on very soft ground last time, but
his
early season handicap form brings him right into the reckoning. If you’re
having a forecast bet, remember to take the bet365 ‘Showcast’
price on the
day, as we’ll pay you the starting price (CSF) is it’s bigger!
bet365 customers can also take advantage of our Channel 4 Offer on this
race (and the other six live races from Newbury and Warwick on Saturday).
Back a winner at 4/1 or bigger to get a free bet to the same stake on
the
next live race.
Totesport Trophy Picks: Chief Yeoman @ 10/1 / Admiral @ 25/1 (Each-way)
bet365’s BEEF OR SALMON TV DINNER
Other highlights from Newbury will include the reappearance of current
Champion Chase 2/1 favourite Kauto Star (3.45), and the running of the
Aon
Chase (2.35), which should be an informative guide to this season’s
Gold
Cup. Martin Pipe has a strong hand here with five possible runners, the
best of which would be Celestial Gold, but he could be thwarted by Take
The
Stand. This one will be ridden by Tony McCoy, and is reported to be in
‘excellent shape’ by his trainer Peter Bowen. Current Gold
Cup favourite,
Beef Or Salmon, will be a warm order when he lines up for Sunday’s
Hennessy
Cognac Gold Cup at Leopardstown. The race is not live on terrestrial TV,
but bet365 customers can still watch the race live by betting £5
and
clicking on the live stream next to the race.
bet365 latest Cheltenham Gold Cup prices … Beef Or Salmon 5/1, Monkerhostin
11/2, Kingscliff 7/1, Celestial Gold 10/1, War Of Attrition, Take The
Stand
12/1, others on bet365 website.
GOLF
****
CLARK IS A REGULATION BET AT A STAND-OUT 25/1
AT&T Pebble Beach
Th Feb 9 20.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Feb 10 20.00 BST (SSX)
Sa Feb 11 20.00 BST (SS2)
Su Feb 12 20.30 BST (SS2)
Another pro-am lies in wait over the weekend on the US Tour, played over
three courses (two at Pebble Beach), where the small greens are
particularly influential and place a great emphasis on greens in regulation
(live ‘In Play’ betting available at bet365).
This week’s defending champion, Phil Mickelson, is difficult to
leave out
of calculations, despite some indifferent play in the last couple of weeks.
His record here speaks for itself twice a winner and twice third
in his
last eight visits and his record at this time of year (the West
Coast
Swing) is superb, so I expect him to win one soon. However, at 5/1 (21/4
Enhanced Win Only) he hardly screams value, and better value can be had
by
backing Tim Clark at a standout bet365 price of 25/1. After making the
cut
at the Bob Hope, he showed his true abilities by finishing only three
shots
out of the playoff at the Buick Invitational. More importantly, he ranked
1st in driving accuracy and greens in regulation that week.
Also worth an interest this week is Arron Oberholser, who is a regular
contender on the West Coast, and rates solid each-way value at the bet365
price of 28/1. He’s finished fourth and sixth at Pebble the last
two
years, and has opened 2006 in great style, improving with every tournament
he’s played, culminating with four sub-70 rounds to finish tenth
to last
week’s shock winner, John B. Holmes.
If there was going to be another J.B. Holmes-type result again this week,
then one of the more likely candidates would be Bubba Watson at 66/1.
So
far on the Tour this year, he’s the only player to outrank JB in
driving
distance, and has come pretty close to winning too, with finishes of 2nd
and 4th. So long as his driving holds up this week, these courses will
set
up well for him, and he looks a big price at 66/1 here at bet365.
AT&T Pebble Beach Three Off the Tee … Tim Clark 25/1, Arron
Oberholser
28/1, Bubba Watson 66/1. Each-way ¼ odds 1.2.3.4.5
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel
NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years,
believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for
money.”
Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out what
offers and lines are hot at bet365.com
*UK Edition*
THE PUNTING PREVIEW BY bet365’s MARK HENDERSON
**********************************************
FOOTBALL
********
No Euro Skeptics England are 4/1 Favourites!
Following a favourable draw in Montreux last week, England are the 4/1
favourites to win Euro 2008. The Three Lions are 2/5 to win Group G, which
also contains Croatia (4/1) and Russia (5/1). Poor Scotland have an
horrific group which includes Italy (11/10 to win Group B), France (5/4)
and Ukraine, who at 9/2 look the best value. The Ukrainian’s are
notoriously difficult to beat, and no-one will relish a trip to Kiev.
Ukraine qualified for this summer’s World Cup in a group which included
Turkey, Denmark and Euro 2004 Champions Greece.
Euro 2008 To Qualify for the Finals: 1/20 England, 6/4 Rep.Ireland,
8/1
Wales, 10/1 Scotland, 50/1 N.Ireland.
4/5 Chelsea at Home? You’re havin’ A Laugh!
Chelsea and Liverpool have met each other an incredible eight times in
the
last two seasons, and the Reds have come out on top only once. Some may
argue that the Champions League semi-final at Anfield last May was the
most
important of these eight games, but nevertheless, it does remain their
only
victory over Jose Mourinho’s men. Whilst Liverpool (10/3 to win
on Sunday)
are as good a side as they’ve been for many years, Chelsea continue
to
raise the bar above and beyond any other team, making the 4/5 at home
look
massive. Chelsea last suffered a home league defeat way back in February
2004 and Liverpool’s last away venture ended in defeat, albeit unluckily,
to Manchester Utd.
Live Game Pick
Chelsea to beat Liverpool @ 4/5 (Sunday 16.00, Sky Sports 1)
DJ’s Blues can be Louder than the Gunners @ 10/3
It’s been a shocking season for Arsenal so far, and could get a
lot worse
come Saturday evening. Arsenal can’t be backed with any confidence
at 8/11
and, although Birmingham are third from bottom, it’s worth remembering
that
Arsenal have already lost at places like West Brom and Middlesbrough.
Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 5 home matches and the Gunners away
record is worse than Aston Villa’s and Newcastle’s. The Blues
are finally
showing signs of recovery, and with the useful addition of Chris Sutton
and
the sensational swoop for DJ Campbell, the 10/3 looks very tempting.
Premiership Pick
Birmingham to beat Arsenal @ 10/3 (Saturday 15.00)
Hammers & Rovers Make A Cracker of an Acca!
After watching their 3-0 humiliation at home to Middlesbrough on Tuesday,
it’s clear that Sunderland have only two hopes of retaining their
Premiership status next year. No hope and Bob hope. Throw in the fact
that
Sunderland’s last Premiership win in London was in March 2001 (against
Chelsea no less!), the 8/15 for West Ham is definitely worth throwing
in
our accumulator. The reasons for opposing Sunderland are too numerous
to
mention, so I’ll crack on with my final selection for this weeks
accumulator, which is Blackburn at 11/8. Mark Hughes’ outfit have
been
quietly climbing up the Premiership. After 6 matches, they were third
from
bottom, but now look like possible UEFA Cup candidates. The Baggies have
suffered back-to-back home defeats to Aston Villa and Sunderland and won’t
be looking forward to Blackburn’s physical style of play.
We’ve got some big prices in there, so it’s big returns for
small stakes
time! A mere fiver will return £149.13 on our Premiership four-timer,
which
includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (Up to 60% available every Premiership
weekend).
Premiership Accumulator Pick
Birmingham (10/3), Blackburn (11/8), West Ham (8/15) and Chelsea (4/5)
-
Pays £149.13 (Only £5 stake)
HORSE RACING
************
Trust 9/2 Dempsey, and Make Pieces of Silver this Weekend
The Victor Chandler Chase will finally take place this weekend. The race,
originally run at Ascot, was switched to Cheltenham before that card was
abandoned and has finally ended up at Sandown. Paul Nicholls has put a
cat
amongst the pigeons by entering Hoo La Baloo, which was immediately well
supported (currently 8/1 from 12/1). Hoo La Baloo only runs on right-handed
tracks, so the original Cheltenham venue would never have been considered.
Paul Nicholls’ 4 year-old did win a Grade 2 chase over course and
distance
on Boxing Day, but this race may cut up slightly with Sandown planning
to
water the back straight before Saturday.
Watering will suit Albuhera (5/1), Bambi De L’orme (10/1) and Town
Crier
(15/2), the latter was Tom Segal’s Pricewise selection for the original
abandoned race. This is a fiercely competitive Chase, but Dempsey could
have too much for his rivals at 9/2. Mark Pitman’s 8 year-old has
a 100%
record over 2 miles at Sandown, and Pitman believes the extra week’s
break
will work in Dempsey’s favour. Dempsey renews rivalries with Tikram
(7/1)
and Tysou (12/1), both of whom were beaten by Pitman’s runner last
time
out.
Nicholls’ Gelding can Be Be King of the Hurdlers
Paul Nicholls may have surprised a few people by throwing Hoo La Baloo
in
the Victor Chandler Chase, but there’ll be no surprises if his
much-improved Be Be King wins the Totescoop6 Handicap Hurdle on Saturday.
The 7 year-old gelding looked uneasy during his hurdling debut at
Uttoxeter, but has won all three subsequent races, improving every time.
A
3 ½ length victory in a decent Grade 2 contest last time out showed
us
enough to suggest he can win on Saturday. Be Be King is likely to start
around the 3/1 mark, with Nicholls’ other two runners Gungadu and
Fountain
Hill both likely to be around 12/1 or 14/1.
With Channel 4 covering racing from both Sandown and Wetherby, bet365
customers can take advantage of our fantastic Channel 4 Offer. Back a
winner at 4/1, or bigger, and we'll give you a free bet (up to £50)
on the
next live race on the channel.
bet365 customers can watch the remainder of the cards via our new 'Bet
&
Watch' service, which allows you to watch EVERY race in the UK and Ireland
live. Just bet £5 with us to take advantage of this service
why bet
anywhere else?
Horse Racing Pick
Dempsey (1.30 Sandown, Saturday) @ 9/2
Be Be King (3.10 Sandown, Saturday)
RUGBY UNION
***********
Killer Wales 10/11 to Make a Mockery of 16 Point Handicap
The Six Nations Championship kicks-off this weekend, with last year’s
Grand
Slam winners Wales taking on England at Twickenham. Wales haven’t
won at
Twickers since Margaret Thatcher was Prime Minister (they’re 5/1
to win the
match) and, given their horrendous injury list, they’ll certainly
find it
tough this weekend, but this match should be closer than the 16-point
handicap on offer.
11/8 For a French Collection
Although they’re the current reigning champions, Wales simply don’t
have
the same strength in-depth as France or England, and the French are worthy
favourites for the title at 4/5. With so many players missing, the 9/1
about a Welsh repeat success of last year is about right, but the 28/1
about a Grand Slam has little appeal. Given the poor performance of the
Lions down under, this year could all be about the French, who will use
this as a springboard for next year’s World Cup, which they host.
The fact
that they play England and Ireland in Paris just gives them the edge,
and
the 11/8 for the Grand Slam could look value come mid-March.
Rugby Union Pick
Wales (+16 points) to best England @ 10/11
France to Win The Grand Slam @ 11/8
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*UK Edition*
Get In The Game - with Nigel Ridgway of bet365
**********************************************
CRICKET
*******
CAN ENGLAND RISE FROM THE ASHES?
Th Aug 4 20.00 BST (SS1)
Fr Aug 5 20.00 BST (SS1)
Sa Aug 6 20.00 BST (SS1)
Su Aug 7 20.00 BST (SS1)
Mo Aug 8 20.00 BST (SS3)
Australia are now 1/8 from 1/2 for the Ashes after their 239-run
victory in
the 1st Test at Lord’s. A drawn series is now 8/1, while only
the most
patriotic of punters will be backing England at 9/1. There was hope
for a
time that the weather would come to the rescue of England in the
1st Test,
and all the money on Saturday night was for the draw, forcing the
price
into 7/2 from 8/1. However, the result was never in danger once
play
resumed. Glenn McGrath’s Ashes prediction of a series whitewash
may not be
looking far off the mark now after an empathic victory (13/2 from
20/1),
but there’s still a lot of cricket to be played. Edgbaston
is next and, as
England have a far better record there against the Aussies, they
could see
some support at 9/2. Of the Lord’s batting line-up, only Kevin
Pietersen
emerged with any credit, and he’s 7/2 market leader to be
top bat for
England.
Latest bet365 2nd Test prices … Australia 8/11, England 9/2,
The Draw 2/1.
Live In-Play betting available.
GOLF
****
JOLLY JIM TO STEAL PRIZE FROM TIGER
Th Jul 28 21.00 BST (SS1)
Fr Jul 29 21.00 BST (SSX)
It’s hard to make a case against Tiger Woods in this week’s
Buick Open.
Sure he’s only 2/1 (11/5 in our Enhanced Win Only market),
and is playing
here to please his Buick sponsors, but there’s never been
a hint of him not
giving his best in this event. As a previous winner, and a massive
93 under
for his six appearances, he’s sure to be in contention on
Sunday, and looks
an absolute must for any staking plans this week. Further down the
betting
list, there is a distinct lack of top names to topple Tiger, but
one that
jumps out is Jim Furyk at 12/1. Jolly Jim’s record is even
better than
Tiger’s (96 under for his last 24 rounds!) and, with finishes
of 2nd and
1st in his last two PGA Tour events, he looks an each-way steal
at that
price. Another player with excellent course form is Geoff Ogilvy
- 70 or
better in 11 of 12 rounds at Warwick Hills, including a 2nd place
finish in
2003. Plus, he comes here on the back of a top-5 finish at St Andrews
so,
at 33/1, has to be worth a few quid each way (1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5).
Live
In-Play betting available throughout.
Buick Open Selections: Jim Furyk @ 12/1; Geoff Ogilvy @ 33/1; Tiger
Woods @
2/1
HORSE RACING
************
DON’T LOOK A GIFT HORSE
Sa Jul 30
David Nicholls continues to prove that he has few peers when it
comes to
training sprinters, and his Gift Horse looks the one to beat in
this
Saturday’s cavalry charge, the Stewards Cup at Goodwood. The
easy six
furlongs with some cut in the ground would seem to be his ideal
conditions
and he comes here on the back of good runs in all three of his races
this
season. After winning first time up at Doncaster, he ran an eye-catching
race when third in a hot York handicap next time out, the form of
which is
working out well. He then went on to land a gamble at Epsom on Derby
day,
for which he has only been raised only 4lb, and there is probably
more to
come from him. Tipped up here at 8/1 last week (now trading at 6/1)
he
could well go off favourite on the day, especially should his stable
companion Lafi (9/2) miss the race. The latter ran a cracker when
2nd at
Newbury last Sunday, the form of which would make him a danger,
but too
much rain may not be ideal, while there’s also a suspicion
that he’s better
on a more galloping track. Texas Gold (16/1) appears to be running
into
form at just the right time and, best on downhill tracks like this,
he
looks the best outsider. If you’re having a bet this weekend,
don’t forget
to claim your Free Scoop6 bet. Just stake £10 on any UK horse
racing to
qualify.
Steward’s Cup Picks: Gift Horse @ 6/1; Texas Gold @ 16/1 (Each-way)
FOOTBALL
*********
OLD FIRM ARE NOT OLD NEWS
This weekend sees the season get under way north of the border,
and it
looks to be business as usual as far the outright market is concerned.
We
can’t split the big two at 5/6, so the value may be in trying
to determine
who’s going to finish third. In our SPL ‘Without Celtic
& Rangers’ betting,
both Aberdeen and Hearts are priced at 9/4. Last season, Aberdeen
finished
with 61 points, 11 clear of their rivals in the betting. However,
the
‘Jambos’ have since been boosted by the arrival of manager
George Burley
from Derby and, along with several new signings, are expected to
mount a
challenge for a UEFA Cup spot this season.
Hearts to win the SPL 2005/06 ‘Without Celtic & Rangers’
@ 9/4
NEW BHOY NAKAMURA
Celtic will be celebrating the arrival of Japanese International
Shunsuke
Nakamura, who should prove to be a valuable asset when delivering
corners
and free kicks. We make him Evens to score more league goals from
free
kicks than David Beckham (8/11) this season, and that looks a fair
bet.
Reigning champions Rangers can get their season off to a flyer by
thrashing
Livingston on Sunday. Livingston were thrashed 3-0 by the Gers back
in
January, and again 4-1 in November, so it’s a safe bet that
the ‘Winning
margin’ will be 2 or more goals again at 8/13.
Shunsuke Nakamura to score more league goals than David Beckham
@ Evens
Rangers to beat Livingston by 2 or more goals @ 8/13
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are
subject
to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these events
NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many
years,
believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value
for money.”
Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping
column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out
what
offers and lines are hot at bet365.com
*UK Edition*
Get In The Game - with Nigel Ridgway of bet365
**********************************************
CRICKET
*******
DON’T DESERT ENGLAND
Th Jul 21 20.00 BST (SS1)
Fr Jul 22 20.00 BST (SS1)
Sa Jul 23 20.30 BST (SS1)
Su Jul 24 20.00 BST (SS1)
Mon Jul 25 20.00 BST (SS1)
It would be easy to desert England for the Ashes Series after their
second
successive one-day hammering by the Aussies Australia are
2/5 from 1/2
after their seven-wicket win at Lord’s (England are 10/3,
Draw 13/2). Of
course, Australia must be favourite, but this is unlikely to be
the 3-1 or
4-1 thrashing (or worse!) that some are predicting. Under Michael
Vaughan,
England have been transformed into a quality Test outfit and, given
that
both teams like to play fast aggressive cricket, winning more than
the
standard one Test is not an unrealistic proposition. That could
bring in
three possible Series correct score results 3-2 Australia
(12/1), 2-2
(13/2), and 3-2 England (16/1). The advice is to have a decent bet
on the
draw, and a saver on the other two. The 1st Test gets under way
on Thursday
at Lord’s (live in-play betting available), and we make Australia
10/11,
with England at 7/2 (The Draw 2/1). Game on!
Suggested Ashes Series Correct Score Bets: 2-2 Draw @ 13/2 (savers
on 3-2
Australia @ 12/1 / 3-2 England @ 16/1)
HORSE RACING
************
SWALLOW TO FLY HOME IN GEORGE
Sa Jul 23
With doubts over the stamina of 2/1 favourite Azamour, Grey Swallow
looks
the one to be on for this Saturday’s King George VI and QE
Diamond Stakes
at Newbury the current price of 10/3 is likely to be shorter
on the day.
Last year’s Irish Derby winner is at his best over this trip
of a mile and
a half, and showed he was better than ever when winning first time
out this
season at the Curragh. That day he beat Bago (6/1) and Ace (12/1)
into
second and third, with Azamour only fourth. The latter went on to
beat Ace
at York, but this is a new trip for him, and proven ability to see
out the
trip is simply essential as every winner in the last decade had
won over
the big-race trip. Stamina is not an issue with the selection who
looks to
have been saved for this race by his astute connections. The only
worry
would be firm going, but with showers forecast, it should be no
faster than
good to firm. With question marks about several of his rivals the
main
danger could come from the old-timer Mubtaker (25/1), who often
runs his
best races at Newbury.
King George Selections: Grey Swallow @ 10/3; Mubtaker @ 25/1 (Each-way)
PEDRO CAN MAKE THEM ALL GO
Sa Jul 23
Up at York, the best bet on the card could be Danzili Bay (2.55),
who
looked a horse to follow when winning with something to spare at
Haydock
last month. On the same card, Yo Pedro can lead his rivals a merry
dance in
the three-year-old handicap (3.25). After winning a Lingfield maiden
in
January, David Loder’s charge didn’t reappear until
running well at
Newmarket last month, and will be suited by the drop back in trip
on
Saturday. As both races are covered live on Channel 4, make sure
you take
advantage of our 4/1 Offer (should they win at 4/1 or bigger), which
entitles you to a free bet on the next live Channel 4 race.
Channel 4 Tips: Danzili Bay (2.55) & Yo Pedro (3.25)
LAFI TO MAKE YOU HAPPY
Su Jul 24
The big sprint on Sunday (2.45) can go the way of Lafi, who is sure
to go
off a hot favourite on the back of a cracking effort in listed company
last
time out at Sandown. Since that race, the handicapper has reacted
by
putting him up 12lb but, as he’s able to run off his old mark
here, he has
the look of a handicap good thing. A Group 1 entry in next month’s
Nunthorpe is an indication of the regard in which he is held by
king of the
sprint trainers David Nicholls, who also has him in next week’s
Steward’s
Cup at Goodwood. He’s 5/1 favourite for that race, but is
not sure to be
suited to the undulations of that track, and may be a doubtful runner.
Besides, his trainer has another ideal candidate for that race -
8/1 second
favourite Gift Horse and that looks a price worth snapping
up now!
Hong Kong Jockey Club Sprint Selection: Lafi @ SP
Bet Now Ante Post: Gift Horse @ 8/1 (Steward’s Cup)
GOLF
****
PERRY HAS FEW PEERS
Th Jul 21 21.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Jul 22 21.00 BST (SS2)
Sa Jul 23 20.00 BST (SS2)
Su Jul 24 20.00 BST (SS3)
Kenny Perry is an unoriginal selection for this week’s US
Bank
Championship, but such is the weakness of the field (16/1 second
favourite
Scott Verplank has not won since 201 and is a final round bottler!)
that
any doubts about him being jet-lagged from his visit to Scotland
last week
are more than compensated by his generous price of 13/2. While not
being
royal or ancient, like St Andrews, the course at Brown Deer Park
commands
respect with some of the longest rough on the Tour. For that reason
the
ability to hit it straight off the tee is essential, and the accurate
Perry
has top marks in that department. No wonder he’s already shown
a liking for
the course by winning there in 2003 (top seven in all of his five
starts
here!). As a two-time winner already this season, he’ll not
be afraid to
win either, unlike some of his rivals who seem to have forgotten
how to
close out tournaments.
US Bank Championship Selection: Kenny Perry @ 13/2
FOOTBALL
********
WRIGHT MOVE FOR SHAUN
There must have been groans around Old Trafford and Highbury this
week as
Jose Mourinho further strengthened his squad with the acquisition
of Shaun
Wright-Phillips from Man City. However, as there’s plenty
of competition
around at the Bridge, he may have to spend some time warming the
bench, and
we’re betting on the number of starts he will make for the
Blues this
Premiership season (under / over 19.5 starts at 5/6). Whether he’s
done his
chances of making the England squad any favours is also open to
question.
We go 2/7 that he doesn’t start England’s first game
at the 2006 World Cup
Finals (5/2 that he does).
Shaun Wright-Phillips to make fewer than 19.5 starts for Chelsea
2005/6 @
5/6
CITY’S BLUES
Of course, the departure of SWP can only be bad news for Manchester
City,
and it wouldn’t be a major surprise to see the Citizens languishing
near
the bottom of the table for most of the coming season. Last season’s
finishing position of 8th was impressive, but without the contributions
of
SWP and Nicolas Anelka they would have been pretty ordinary. Plus,
with
debts in the region of £68 million, it’s debatable just
how much of their
windfall they will be able to spend. Their manager Stuart Pearce
has
already been touted here as a likely candidate for the first Premiership
manager to lose his job (14/1 still available in our ‘Sack
Race’ betting),
and 10/1 for City to finish in the bottom three could look a big
price come
Christmas.
Man City to be relegated next season @ 10/1
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are
subject
to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these events
NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many
years,
believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value
for
money.”
Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping
column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out
what
offers and lines are hot at bet365.com
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Bet365.com,
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bet365 is the internet and telephone division of the bet365
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Written by: J. Philip Vogel for Casino.com (2004-04-23 23:47:27)
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Reprinted with permission from Casino.com.
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